All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invite |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/13 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
315 | |
322 |
428 |
295 |
378 |
1,059 |
569 |
347 |
393 |
862 |
498 |
294 |
406 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
322 |
428 |
295 |
378 |
315 |
317 |
347 |
393 |
315 |
422 |
294 |
406 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invite |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 41 |
Owen Osterman |
12 |
16:11 |
17:34 |
16:12 |
16:12 |
16:00 |
16:09 |
|
|
16:12 |
17:24 |
|
16:23 |
16:04 |
18:37 |
| 99 |
Grant Hostettler |
10 |
16:33 |
17:02 |
16:27 |
16:40 |
16:28 |
16:21 |
|
|
16:34 |
16:51 |
|
|
16:27 |
16:31 |
| 104 |
Emmett Tuason |
12 |
16:34 |
17:08 |
16:23 |
17:32 |
16:40 |
17:08 |
|
16:36 |
16:44 |
16:36 |
|
17:31 |
16:42 |
16:27 |
| 258 |
Gus Phillips |
10 |
17:06 |
16:56 |
16:45 |
17:18 |
16:39 |
17:15 |
|
|
17:20 |
16:53 |
|
17:32 |
17:02 |
16:59 |
| 287 |
Keagan Terry |
9 |
17:12 |
|
18:00 |
17:41 |
17:26 |
17:38 |
|
|
17:11 |
17:07 |
|
17:06 |
17:02 |
17:15 |
| 469 |
Max Frank |
10 |
17:35 |
18:14 |
17:46 |
17:31 |
|
17:31 |
|
17:19 |
17:22 |
17:43 |
|
17:37 |
17:44 |
17:42 |
| 476 |
Charlie Cromer |
9 |
17:36 |
|
18:02 |
17:28 |
|
|
|
17:29 |
17:34 |
17:23 |
|
17:38 |
|
17:48 |
| 642 |
Alec Hueftle |
12 |
17:54 |
17:13 |
18:31 |
|
17:27 |
17:45 |
|
17:44 |
17:56 |
17:56 |
17:41 |
18:35 |
|
|
| 798 |
Elliott DeRyke |
11 |
18:08 |
17:45 |
18:06 |
18:17 |
18:06 |
18:16 |
|
18:11 |
17:55 |
17:59 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
| 835 |
Isaac Fox |
11 |
18:12 |
|
18:28 |
18:33 |
18:07 |
|
18:11 |
18:10 |
18:01 |
|
18:12 |
|
18:10 |
|
| 857 |
Justin Kelly |
12 |
18:13 |
18:51 |
19:00 |
|
18:54 |
|
18:22 |
17:57 |
18:10 |
17:53 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
| 1,025 |
Spencer Collins |
12 |
18:28 |
|
18:21 |
|
18:05 |
18:24 |
|
18:37 |
18:23 |
|
18:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,166 |
Alex Crowe |
11 |
18:39 |
|
19:08 |
|
18:30 |
|
18:26 |
18:22 |
19:06 |
|
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
Dawson Pikus |
9 |
19:00 |
|
19:24 |
19:18 |
19:38 |
|
19:06 |
18:43 |
18:42 |
|
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
Malcolm Cruz |
10 |
19:01 |
|
19:16 |
|
19:25 |
|
19:14 |
18:50 |
18:55 |
|
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
Chris Arnold |
11 |
19:07 |
18:47 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lewis Mandel |
9 |
19:14 |
|
18:48 |
19:12 |
18:36 |
|
20:51 |
19:23 |
19:10 |
|
20:00 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
16.3 |
390 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
8.6 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
| Regionals |
100% |
4.2 |
153 |
|
1.6 |
9.4 |
60.6 |
25.0 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
75 |
|
4.4 |
93.4 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Owen Osterman |
100% |
41.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
99.5% |
| Grant Hostettler |
100% |
101.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
83.8% |
| Emmett Tuason |
100% |
104.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
83.5% |
| Gus Phillips |
100% |
191.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.7% |
| Keagan Terry |
100% |
201.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
| Max Frank |
100% |
229.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Charlie Cromer |
100% |
230.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Owen Osterman |
100% |
11.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
5.0 |
7.4 |
9.0 |
9.3 |
8.1 |
8.7 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Hostettler |
100% |
26.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Emmett Tuason |
100% |
26.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Gus Phillips |
100% |
51.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Keagan Terry |
100% |
58.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Max Frank |
100% |
90.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Cromer |
100% |
92.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Owen Osterman |
5.9 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
17.3 |
24.9 |
16.6 |
10.7 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grant Hostettler |
12.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
10.1 |
10.9 |
15.5 |
15.6 |
7.6 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Emmett Tuason |
12.8 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
5.6 |
7.6 |
9.3 |
10.5 |
11.6 |
15.5 |
14.6 |
9.4 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
| Gus Phillips |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
7.7 |
10.2 |
14.4 |
13.8 |
15.3 |
12.7 |
11.1 |
5.5 |
2.5 |
| Keagan Terry |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
2.8 |
5.8 |
8.0 |
10.4 |
12.4 |
16.5 |
16.1 |
16.8 |
6.2 |
| Max Frank |
26.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
6.2 |
14.4 |
| Charlie Cromer |
26.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
4.7 |
12.7 |
|
